Security

Enough is enough: The message to Russia is clear, but it’s not over yet

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It was in the hectic midst of the ASEAN conference in Sydney a fortnight ago that Julie Bishop first discussed with her British counterpart, Boris Johnson, the prospect of expelling Russian spies. David Wroe The Age Bishop and Johnson had spoken by phone three days earlier after British leader Theresa May stood in the House of Commons and called out the Kremlin over the nerve agent attack on British soil. Then on the Saturday in Sydney, Johnson flagged in a text ... Read More »

India presses Tibetan leadership to stop political activity against Beijing

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2018 is going to be a busy year for both the governments of China and India. Sheeroy Desai Dorje Shugden From leaked memos in February instructing all Indian politicians and government officials not to participate in events organized by the Tibetan leadership, to a recent phone call between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Xi Jinping to work on deepening bilateral ties, it is clear where Indian interests lie and it is certainly not to the benefit of the Central Tibetan Administration ... Read More »

China Moves Centre Stage in Korean Peninsula Peace Efforts

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After weeks in which other actors have taken notable steps towards defusing fears of war over North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile program, a China-North Korea summit held 26-27 March in Beijing has reasserted China’s pivotal role in efforts to find a solution to the… ICG When North Korean leader Kim Jong-un on 26 March secretly rolled into Beijing on a private armoured train for unofficial meetings with President Xi Jinping, China moved decisively centre stage in the… China also ... Read More »

America Must Drop Its Delusions about Dealing with Russia

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It’s time to part with illusions. Otherwise, the United States cannot develop and execute a sustainable policy towards Russia. Nikolas K. Gvosdev The National Interest It’s time to part with illusions. For too long, the U.S. national-security community has oscillated in its assessment of the Russian Federation, swinging between viewing Moscow as the country’s number one geopolitical threat to dismissing the challenge of a nation whose per capita GDP equals that of Portugal. This has led… America Must Drop… Read More »

How the Taiwan Travel Act Could Start a U.S.-China War

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On March 16, 2018, President Donald Trump signed into law the Taiwan Travel Act, which encourages “officials at all levels of the United States Government” to visit and meet with their Taiwan counterparts and to “allow high-level officials of Taiwan” to enter the United States and… Paul Smith The National Interest The Chinese government has criticized the new law, describing it as a “mistake” and a violation of the One-China Policy. Chinese President Xi Jinping declared that “any actions and ... Read More »

Spy Attack Widens Turkey’s Split With U.S.

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As U.S. and European allies form a diplomatic front against Russia, Turkey’s coziness with the Kremlin is testing its crucial defense ties with the U.S. and its military alliance with NATO. Selcan Hacaoglu Bloomberg Businessweek The U.S., Canada and several European nations expelled more than 100 Russian diplomats on Monday to punish President Vladimir Putin’s government for the nerve-agent attack on a former Russian spy in the U.K. Turkey, which has grown closer to Russia in recent years, stayed out ... Read More »

Turkey to Use Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System to Protect Akkuyu NPP – Academic

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There are no obstacles to Turkey’s use of Russian-made S-400 air defense systems along with US Patriots and Franco-Italian Eurosam SAMP-T defense systems, Turkish academic Mesut Hakki Casin told Sputnik. Mesut Hakki Casin Sputnik According to Casin, the US threats over Ankara’s purchase of the S-400 are an attempt to impose pressure on Russia and Turkey. Turkey is likely to use a Russian-made S-400 Triumf anti-aircraft weapon system to protect the Akkuyu Nuclear Power Plant, Mesut Hakki Casin, retired Air Force officer ... Read More »

Mike Pompeo expected to take tough tact as relations with Turkey erode

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Former CIA chief seen as more in line with White House, ‘bit less afraid to throw an elbow’ By Guy Taylor and Dan Boylan  The Washington Times Iran and North Korea may top incoming Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s to-do list, but a festering problem with a key NATO ally may prove just as hard to solve. Turkey and the U.S. appear to sharply diverge on a host of fronts, including Turkey’s war against U.S.-allied Kurds in the Middle East ... Read More »

Congress Should Help Rein In Trump’s New Pro-war National Security Advisor

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Contrarian arguments about John Bolton – that he is smart and that his hawkishness might browbeat U.S. rivals into peace deals – look past a long record that suggests an appetite for forcible regime change, a capacity for shading the truth, and a… Stephen Pomper ICG President Trump’s announcement that John Bolton would become his third national security advisor hit foreign policy circles like a minor earthquake last… Bolton had long been rumoured to be waiting in the wings to ... Read More »

Greece vs. Turkey: Are We Headed for an Intra-NATO War?

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The alarming escalation in the Aegean. The Aegean Sea between Greece and Turkey hosts one of the world’s highest concentrations of high-tech weaponry. John Psaropoulos The Weekly Standard Athens Sixty-seven surface ships and two dozen submarines are deployed on a body of water the size of Lake Superior. The two air forces command 448 fighter jets armed with smart bombs and guided missiles. On land, 832 heavy tanks and more than 2,500 lighter artillery vehicles—as much tank firepower as in ... Read More »

Putin, Erdogan discuss preparations for Russia-Turkey-Iran summit in Ankara

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Preparations for an upcoming summit meeting of the Russian, Turkish and Iranian leaders in Ankara were in focus of a telephone conversation between Russian and Turkish Presidents, Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the… AMN “The two presidents discussed preparations for a regular meeting of the top-level Cooperation Council between Russia and Turkey and the second summit of the Astana process guarantor nations – Russia, Turkey and Iran – due to be held in early April in Ankara,” the… The ... Read More »

James Mattis Is an Ancient Roman Action Hero

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Argument In dealing with President Trump, the defense secretary seems to have done his reading on Emperor Nero. By Robert Zaretsky FP Since the 2016 election, comparisons between the United States and ancient Rome abound, motivated as much by President Donald Trump-Emperor Nero analogies as anything. Commentators have dwelled on the traits of theatricality, brutality, solipsism, narcissism, cruelty, and… There’s a problem, however, with these comparisons: their source material. Most have turned to the work of Suetonius as their Nero-knowledge ... Read More »

Spy Attack Widens Turkey’s Split With NATO Allies Over Russia

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As U.S. and European allies form a diplomatic front against Russia, Turkey’s coziness with the Kremlin is testing its crucial defense ties with the U.S. and its military alliance with NATO. Selcan Hacaoglu Bloomberg The U.S., Canada and several European nations expelled more than 100 Russian diplomats on Monday to punish President Vladimir Putin’s government for the nerve-agent attack on a former Russian spy in the U.K. Turkey, which has grown closer to Russia in recent years, stayed out of ... Read More »

A New Cold War Is Not Inevitable

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Top NATO and Russian military commanders have agreed to meet. Here’s what they need to discuss. James Stavridis Bloomberg When I served as Supreme Allied Commander at NATO from 2009 to 2013, I developed a friendly relationship with the head of the Russian armed forces, General Nikolai Makarov. He was a short, barrel-chested man with a congenial personal style, and given my own somewhat compact physique, I could at least tell my boss, Secretary of Defense Bob Gates, that I ... Read More »

Europe fakes Turkish delight

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Prospect of breathing new life into Turkey’s bid for EU membership remains as remote as ever. Matthew Karnitschnig Politico Bulgaria’s Black Sea coast offers everything Europe’s political elite expect from a good summit: an exotic location, breathtaking views and (most important) casks of fine wine. If only Recep Tayyip Erdoğan hadn’t shown up. For the EU’s top brass, the irascible Turkish leader was the proverbial fly in the summit soup at Monday’s dinner meeting with Council President Donald Tusk, Commission ... Read More »

ISIS Returnees Bring Both Hope and Fear to Chechnya

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The return of ISIS fighters to Chechnya could pose a security challenge for the war-torn Russian republic. The authorities may respond true to form, with repression, but efforts to repatriate women and children stranded in Syria and, in some cases, to reintegrate foreign fighters should not be discounted. Anna Arutunyan ICG The victories over ISIS in Mosul and Raqqa pose a dilemma for states whose citizens travelled to join the Islamic State’s (ISIS) ranks and who may now seek to return ... Read More »