ICG

Kenya: Avoiding Another Electoral Crisis

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Political tensions are rising in Kenya ahead of elections in August for the presidency and other senior… Murithi Mutiga ICG Measures taken now can avert the risk of a repeat of electoral violence that killed hundreds of people in… Kenyans go to the polls in August, and fierce contests are likely in the race for the… Kenya: Avoiding Another… Read More »

Watchmen of Lake Chad: Vigilante Groups Fighting Boko Haram

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Regional armies in the Lake Chad basin deploy vigilantes to sharpen campaigns against Boko Haram insurgents… ICG But using these militias creates risks as combatants turn to communal violence and organised crime… Over the long term they must be disbanded or regulated… Watchmen of Lake… Read More »

The Regional Risks to Somalia’s Moment of Hope

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Eruptions of joy across the Somali-speaking Horn of Africa greeted the election of President Mohammed Abdullahi Farmajo, but to deliver a cure for Somalia’s chronic ills he will need to counter distrust in neighbouring Ethiopia and Kenya and… ICG The election of Somalia’s new President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo offers the country’s international partners a… The Regional Risks… Read More »

Pakistan: Stoking the Fire in Karachi

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Ethnic, political and sectarian rivalries, jihadist groups, criminality and heavy-handed security policies are turning Pakistan’s biggest city into a pressure cooker of… ICG Feuding politicians must set aside their conflicts or Karachi’s law-and-order crisis may further… Pakistan: Stoking the… Read More »

Can Trump and Netanyahu Make Progress Toward the “Ultimate Deal”?

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As U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu prepare to meet, the fundamentals of the… Ofer Zalzberg ICG What aspects of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict are Trump and Netanyahu likely to discuss at their meeting in Washington on 15… The meeting will be crucial for the… Can Trump and… Read More »

Yemen’s al-Qaeda: Expanding the Base

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Thriving on conflict, sectarianism, and local opportunism, al-Qaeda’s affiliates are stronger than ever in… ICG To shrink their growing base will require better governance in vulnerable areas, not treating all Sunni Islamists as one enemy, and above all ending Yemen’s civil… Yemen’s al-Qaeda… Read More »

In the Shadow of “No”: Peace after Colombia’s Plebiscite

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Revised and ratified after its shock rejection in October 2016’s referendum, Colombia’s peace agreement still lacks sustainable political… ICG Reversing public distrust will need swift and effective implementation of the accord – including full apologies for past crimes and the… In the Shadow… Read More »

Women and Iran’s elections: ‘This is not the atmosphere for change’

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In May this year Iranians will go to the polls twice: first to vote for their next president, and then for nearly 120,000 council members in the municipal election. Rebecca Barlow Lowy Interpreter Women, like youth, form a critical component of Iran’s electorate.. They played a key role in the election of reformist president Muhammad Khatami (1997-2005) and the… Women and Iran’s… Read More »

Venezuela Is Falling off the Map

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Beset by relentless hyperinflation, collapsing public services and increasingly dictatorial rule, Venezuela is at risk of becoming a failed… Phil Gunson ICG The best hope for change lies with neighbouring countries, which must sustain pressure to find a… Venezuela Is Falling… Read More »

Guéhenno to Trump: You Cannot ‘just crush’ ISIS

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Jean-Marie Guéhenno, Crisis Group’s President and CEO, speaks to CNN’s Christiane Amanpour about the international challenges that are likely to persist in 2017 and the growing need for robust international structures to meet the… ICG In a broad discussion with CNN’s Christiane Amanpour, the… Guéhenno to Trump… Read More »

South Sudan: Rearranging the Chessboard

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President Salva Kiir has played a weak hand well since his main rival was forced out of Juba in July. ICG To avoid new flare-ups in South Sudan’s three-year-old civil war, Kiir and regional states should step up their work on a… South Sudan: Rearranging… Read More »

Fifteen Points for the New Secretary-General

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The United Nations has seldom faced so many… International Crisis Group offers policy ideas on some of the most important strategic questions and crises confronting incoming Secretary-General António… ICG António Guterres will become Secretary-General amid major geopolitical upheaval, in… Fifteen Points for… Read More »

Venezuela: Tough Talking

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With a collapsing health care system, sky-rocketing inflation and crippling state controls, Venezuela is beset by unprecedented social and economic crises. ICG To end the root problem of political paralysis, the Chavista government and opposition must use outside-mediated negotiation to restore democratic and… Venezuela: Tough… Read More »

What Comes After the Bloody Battle for Aleppo?

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Despite the Syrian regime’s brutally effective campaign to recapture Aleppo, it cannot celebrate victory yet. ICG Noah Bonsey In this Q&A, Senior Syria Analyst Noah Bonsey talks about the factors likely to fuel greater violence, increased radicalisation and… What Comes After… Read More »

Myanmar: A New Muslim Insurgency in Rakhine State

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Recent attacks by an émigré-led force of trained Rohingya fighters mark a dangerous turn. ICG To remove a main root of the violence – Rohingya despair – the government must reverse longstanding discrimination against the Muslim minority, moderate its… Myanmar: A New… Read More »

President Trump and the Art of the Iran Nuclear Deal

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President-Elect Donald J. Trump’s foreign policy direction remains uncertain, but his campaign rhetoric has cast doubt on the future of the successful multilateral nuclear accord with Iran. ICG The co-signatories with the U.S. – China, France, Germany, Russia and the UK – can take action now to… President Trump and… Read More »