Analysis

Australian politics explainer: the MV Tampa and the transformation of asylum-seeker policy

Some time before August 23 2001, a small Indonesian fishing boat, the KM Palapa 1, left Indonesia en route to Christmas Island with 438 asylum seekers aboard. Alex Reilly  The Conversation Like many before them, the asylum seekers hoped to reach Australia and apply for permanent protection visas. The Palapa’s engines failed in international waters between Indonesia and… Australian politics explainer… Read More »

Trump, in new tax plan, promises to do what Reagan couldn’t

At the center of President Trump’s plan to dramatically cut taxes on businesses and individuals is a promise to stimulate extraordinary economic growth, so much so, his advisers say, that the… Max Ehrenfreund The Washington Post If he succeeds in keeping that promise, Trump will have accomplished something his tax-cutting Republican predecessors failed to… In describing the proposal Wednesday, Trump’s top… Trump, in new… Read More »

Finland Seeks Continued U.S.-Russian Cooperation in the Arctic

Could Russia’s defenisve measures and other geopolitical tensions negatively impact the Arctic Council’s cooperative efforts? Kenneth Yalowitz, Stacy Closson The National Interest Finland will assume the chairmanship next month of the eight-member Arctic Council at a time of heightened geopolitical… The council, which includes the United States, four… Finland Seeks Continued… Read More »

Eureka! the price is right

Asia Times had one excited economist this week as a deeper delve into the first-quarter growth data threw up some intriguing… STEVE WANG Asia Times Anyone fortunate enough to have shared an office with a follower of the dismal science will know that when a eureka moment strikes, the… “I’d like to thank my mom, my first grade math teacher, professor Ma … ad… Eureka! the price… Read More »

Instruments of Pain (II): Conflict and Famine in South Sudan

War in South Sudan led the UN to declare 100,000 people are suffering famine, with a further 5.5 million at… ICG This special briefing urges the country to work harder to establish parameters for a… At the same time, humanitarian corridors from Sudan should be kept open and donors must fully fund the UN aid… Instruments of Pain… Read More »

Pipelines and Pipedreams: How the EU can support a regional gas hub in the Eastern Mediterranean

There has been a great deal of excitement over the past few years around newly-discovered gas reserves in the eastern Mediterranean, and… Tareq Baconi  ecfr.eu With confirmed recent reserves reaching close to 2,000 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas, and the possibility of more discoveries to come, the… The diversification of Europe’s gas supply has long been a priority for the… Pipelines and Pipedreams… Read More »

Why the North Korea Problem Is Far Worse Than You Think

The human and financial costs of reunifying Korea would be… Bruce W. Bennett, Harry J. Kazianis The National Interest If the United States were to attempt to launch a preemptive strike on North Korea, the regime in Pyongyang could do significant damage to both South Korea and Japan—not to mention U.S… One the reasons previous U.S. Administrations have left the… Why the North… Read More »

Eelco Rohling: We need to get rid of carbon in the atmosphere too

Getting climate change under control is a formidable, multifaceted challenge. ANALYSIS: By Professor Eelco Rohling in Canberra By PMC Editor Asia Pacific Report Analysis by my colleagues and me suggests that staying within safe warming levels now requires removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, as well as reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The technology to do this is in its infancy and will take years, even decades, to develop, but our analysis suggests that this must be a… Eelco Rohling: We… Read More »

America’s Yemen Crisis Is Bigger than Just Yemen

Broken alliances and competing political factions are emperiling America’s… Mohamed Zeeshan The National Interest Long before the Trump administration launched missiles at an Assad regime air base in Syria and dropped the world’s most lethal nonnuclear bomb in… In late January, just two weeks into his term, President Trump ordered a military raid on suspected Al… America’s Yemen Crisis… Read More »

The More Things Change, the More Iraq Stays the Same

Some of those watching the Tomahawk missiles lift off from the USS Porter on April 7, 2017, to strike Syria might have been reminded of similar scenes in January 1991, when the Tomahawk was chosen to open the… Seth J. Frantzman The National Interest The United States has been increasingly involved in Iraq since August of… First, the United States helped… The More Things… Read More »

In Turkey, the Victims Change but the Regime Remains the Same

Some 51.4 percent of the more than 58 million Turks who turned out to vote on April 16 said yes to the ruling Justice and… Uzay Bulut PhilosProject With that vote, they decided to shift to an executive presidential… It is debatable if the government would still have won if it had not detained thousands of political dissidents, imposed a… In Turkey, the… Read More »

‘China Matters’

Book Extract In China Matters: Getting It Right for Australia (LaTrobe University Press), its authors Bates Gill and Linda Jakobson look at the… By Bates Gill and Linda Jakobson By Daily Review The two expert China-watchers take a concise look at modern China, its tensions and contradictions, and pose questions about how it might use its power and influence in a… A major aim of… ‘China Matters… Read More »

Instruments of Pain: Conflict and Famine

For the first time in three decades, four countries, driven by war, verge on… ICG Over coming weeks, Crisis Group will publish special briefings on Yemen, South Sudan, Somalia and… Each conflict requires tailored response; all need increased aid and efforts to end the… The last time the UN declared a famine was in 2011, in… Instruments of Pain… Read More »

How the Soviet Union Thought Itself to Death

Glasnost, meant to save the USSR, wound up being its death blow. Anthony D’Agostino The National Interest ALONGSIDE THE balance of power is a balance of ideas, and even a hegemony of… Britain first rose among the European states as a champion of the Reformation and then as a voice of the… Germany emerged as a candidate for world… How the Soviet… Read More »

Does Greece Need More Official Debt Relief? If So, How Much?

Creditor countries and international organizations continue to disagree whether Greece should receive additional official debt relief, and… Jeromin Zettelmeyer (PIIE), Eike Kreplin (German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy) and Ugo Panizza (Graduate Institute, Geneva) This paper first shows that these disagreements can be attributed to competing assumptions about Greece’s future capacity to repay, particularly about… It next evaluates the plausibility of… Does Greece Need… Read More »